Inflation - is it here to stay?
For those who remember the 1970s, the thought of inflation may well fill them with fear. Younger investors may have no conception of why that might be. A common definition of inflation is “too much money chasing too few goods”. If lots of people want to buy a house, then it may be sold by auction (rather than with a fixed priced) allowing for the price to “inflate” significantly above what may be expected previously. The financial crash of 2009 led to fear that the world’s financial plumbing would seize up completely, resulting in such a collapse in demand that deflation would follow. Deflation is the opposite, where prices fall from one year to the next. While this might sound appealing it actually is not and is a far harder problem to solve. An example of this is the economy of Japan which has been battling deflation for thirty years. Where as price inflation leads to buyers trying to buy now to avoid paying more later, price deflation leads t...